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\n\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e3e\u63aa\u6b63\u503c\u7f8e\u56fd\u767d\u5bab\u4e8e2\u67081\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u653610%\u5173\u7a0e\u540e\uff0c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u58f0\u660e\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u751f\u6548\u3002\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6709\u6240\u6743\u8861\uff0c\u65e2\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u56fd\u5185\u4f20\u9012\u4e86\u53cd\u5236\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u907f\u514d\u9020\u6210\u8fc7\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u91d1\u878d\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2\uff08Capital Economics\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e3b\u7ba1\u6731\u5229\u5b89\u00b7\u57c3\u6587\u65af-\u666e\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\uff08Julian Evans-Pritchard\uff09\u57282\u67084\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u4e8c\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u76f8\u6bd4\u66f4\u4e3a\u514b\u5236\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b64\u6b21\u5173\u7a0e\u4ec5\u5f71\u54cd\u7ea6200\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\uff0c\u5360\u6bd4\u7ea612%\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u8d85\u8fc74500\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u3002<\/p>\n
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\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u4ef7\u503c\u7ea6200\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u5360\u7f8e\u5bf9\u534e\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u7684\u7ea612%\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9488\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6d89\u53ca\u8d85\u8fc74500\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u89c4\u6a21\u8fdc\u8d85\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u529b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n
\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2\uff08Capital Economics\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e3b\u7ba1\u6731\u5229\u5b89\u00b7\u57c3\u6587\u65af-\u666e\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\uff08Julian Evans-Pritchard\uff09\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u51fa\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u907f\u514d\u5bf9\u81ea\u8eab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9020\u6210\u8fc7\u5927\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n
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